Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.701467 6.256965 6.867617 7.593332 8.438378 9.398913 10.584327
2024-10-20 4.681952 5.390231 6.228118 7.309081 8.692161 10.439899 12.880158
2024-10-27 4.115526 4.886099 5.842615 7.147979 8.935252 11.383226 15.162931
2024-11-03 3.750909 4.559118 5.600515 7.087141 9.240422 12.403498 17.761540
2024-11-10 3.625707 4.512418 5.699319 7.475602 10.210613 14.560399 22.800405
2024-11-17 3.446659 4.368507 5.639671 7.615406 10.815381 16.266280 27.712330
2024-11-24 3.217388 4.131304 5.418801 7.476321 10.938311 17.160395 31.385452
2024-12-01 3.046817 3.960908 5.275312 7.433419 11.205086 18.367345 36.318713
2024-12-08 2.868568 3.765090 5.075031 7.272416 11.232362 19.104707 40.489488
2024-12-15 2.741712 3.634878 4.962110 7.240050 11.484445 20.365905 46.888951
2024-12-22 2.627042 3.514578 4.853827 7.201385 11.714661 21.638103 54.283975
2024-12-29 2.568668 3.474655 4.867693 7.374431 12.389178 24.154899 68.490117
2025-01-05 2.411238 3.282213 4.635871 7.108949 12.173478 24.533159 75.383804
2025-01-12 2.267349 3.104747 4.419586 6.856963 11.963312 24.922963 83.387120
2025-01-19 2.156743 2.972801 4.268781 6.710786 11.961172 25.909492 96.437322
2025-01-26 2.072349 2.877219 4.171577 6.655396 12.154884 27.564444 117.482765
2025-02-02 2.063630 2.901450 4.278775 7.008982 13.386475 33.164683 190.652407
2025-02-09 2.018373 2.863120 4.273690 7.136032 14.092742 37.444539 285.514075
2025-02-16 1.938631 2.763524 4.152937 7.009636 14.111786 39.096147 362.069884
2025-02-23 1.877307 2.691546 4.077089 6.970627 14.363462 41.928742 512.811988
2025-03-02 1.805278 2.598239 3.956834 6.824144 14.288072 43.281858 664.342276
2025-03-09 1.753836 2.537457 3.892673 6.794680 14.548444 46.492689 1052.050390
2025-03-16 1.704907 2.478728 3.828753 6.759473 14.787622 49.842763 1838.083523